本報告回顧了非洲國家債務(wù)問題的歷史沿革,梳理了非洲國家債務(wù)現(xiàn)狀,并以現(xiàn)有的國家債務(wù)債務(wù)風險評估框架為依據(jù),選取代表性指標對部分非洲國家的債務(wù)風險進行評估,對未來如何繼續(xù)推進中非經(jīng)貿(mào)合作提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議
張春宇,世界經(jīng)濟與政治研究所副研究員,研究領(lǐng)域(方向) 非洲金融。研究成果有《金融危機對非洲產(chǎn)油國對外油氣合作的影響》、《非洲產(chǎn)油國石油政策調(diào)整和金融危機沖擊帶來的投資風險及我國的應(yīng)對措施》、《中國金融穩(wěn)定的政策與挑戰(zhàn)》。李新烽,中國社會科學院西亞非洲研究所研究員,社會文化研究室主任,中國社科院研究生院教授、博士研究生導(dǎo)師。兼任中國散文學會副秘書長,中國報告文學學會副秘書長;中國非洲問題研究會常務(wù)理事,中國亞非學會理事,中國非洲史研究會理事,中國中東學會理事。李若楊,西亞非洲研究所博士研究生。
Chapter 1 Risk of Debt Distress in African Countries Raises Concerns
Chapter 2 Theory and Literature Review
1 Concepts Related to Sovereign Debts
2 Studies on Issues Related to Sovereign Debt
3 Studies on African Debts
Chapter 3 The Status Quo of Debts in African Countries
1 Overall Situation of Debts in African Countries
2 Debts in the African Sub-regions and Some Countries
2.1 The Situation of Debt in Northern Africa
2.2 Situation of Debts in Central Africa
2.3 Situation of Debts in Eastern Africa
2.4 Situation of Debts in Western Africa
2.5 Situation of Debts in Southern Africa
3 Origin of the Debt Problem of African Countries
Chapter 4 National Debt Risk Analysis Frameworks
1 Multilateral International Organizations'Debt Sustainability Analysis
Frameworks
1.1 Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC)Initiative
1.2 Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF)
2 Rating Companies'Sovereign Credit Assessment Frameworks
2.1 Standard & Poor's
2.2 Moody's
2.3 Fitch Ratings
2.4 Dagong
3 Results of Existing Researches
3.1 Risk Identification
3.2 Effective Monitoring Indicatorsd
3.3 Theoretical Models
3.4 Empirical Models
3.5 Debt Sustainability and Sovereign Debt Risk
Chapter 5 Assessment of the Debt Risks in African Countries
1 Selection of Indicators
1.1 Economic Foundation
1.2 Solvency
1.3 Political Stability
2 Rating Methodology
3 Rating Samples
4 Rating Results
4.1 Analysis of Sub-indicators
4.2 Overall Analysis
Chapter 6 Experiences in Debt Risk Management of Developing Countries
1 The Debt Crisis in Latin America in the 1970s
2 Debt Crises in Central and Easterm Europe in the 1990s
3 Debt Crises in Developing Countries during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis
4 Debt Risks of Developing Countries during the 2008 Intemational Financial crisis
Chapter 7 Africa's Debt Problem and Sustainable Development of China-Africa Cooperation
1 Properly Responding to False Accusations against China
2 Save Funds from China from Increasing the Debt Risk of African Countries
3 Promoting China-Africa Cooperation through Strategic Integration between China and Africa
4 Service Industry Will Become an Important Area for Promoting China-Africa Cooperation
References